COULD BRAZIL'S BAD WEATHER BRING SUPPLY BACK IN LINE WITH DEMAND?

Boxes of burley await shipment from storage at the Burley Stabilization Corporation headquarters in Springfield, Tn. A leaf executive suggested earlier this month that the supply situation for both burley and flue-cured may be reaching balance. (File photo) The oversupply may be disappearing. "As a result of the recent heavy rains and hail in southern Brazil from an El Nino weather pattern, we have reduced production projections for both flue-cured and burley in that country by about eight percent," said George Freeman, chief executive officer of Universal in a press release on November 5. "The same weather pattern may also affect Africa, decreasing rainfall and impacting crop sizes and quality. We believe that the combination of this weather pattern and reduced plantings in some origins will bring (leaf) markets largely into balance in fiscal year 2017." The debate over TPP drags: President Barack Obama notified Congress, also on November 5, of his intent to sign the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP), the wide-ranging trade agreement negotiated among the United States and 11 other Pacific Rim countries...and which has been controversial in the South because it specifically excludes tobacco from its conflict resolution protocols.  It must still be ratified by Congress, and tobacco state legislators pledged to oppose it. "Once we allow an entire sector to be treated unfairly in trade agreements, then the question is who's next?" said Senator Thom Tillis (R-N.C.) His colleague Senator Richard Burr (R-N.C.), contended that it is not a free trade deal for North Carolina. "Now that we have more details about TPP, it is abundantly clear that President Obama and his allies have stacked the deck against N.C. agriculture," he said. "I  won't accept any deal that puts our farmers at a disadvantage."  Negotiations on TPP have taken seven years so far, and they are likely to take a while longer. The agreement cannot be voted on in this country until 90 days have passed since Obama's letter. That would put the ratification debate right in the middle of the presidential campaign. The other countries participating in TPP negotiations are Japan, Malaysia, Viet Nam, Singapore, New Zealand, Mexico, Australia, Peru,  Brunei, Chile and Canada. Other countries could petition to be included later. Energy tobacco goes into pilot production: Tyton BioEnergy Systems of Danville, Va., will work with only a small number of farmers to produce "energy tobacco" for 2016 but expects to deal with many more once its new extractors in Raeford, N.C., and other locations in Virginia and N.C. are  complete, says Conor Hartman, a Tyton vice president. This season, most of its farmers are in fairly close proximity to Danville where the company has a pilot extractor. Note: If you contacted Tyton after TFN's earlier story (September II 2015), your name has been entered into the company's database for possible future contracts. An automatic curing controller based on traditional curing methods is now available from Rotem Control & Management Systems. The RTDC Tobacco Barn Curing Controller allows a flue-cured grower to automatically control the temperature, humidity and moisture levels in a barn using a dry bulb,  with monitoring of all aspects of curing. For more information, contact Chad Honeycutt with Britt Technical  Service at 910 214-1301. Kentucky's new ag commissioner has a familiar name. Part of a well-known burley-growing family, Ryan Quarles was elected Kentucky agriculture commissioner in November. He had been a member of the state Senate. A native of Georgetown in the Bluegrass, he will replace Republican James Comer, who unsuccessfully ran for governor. Quarles is the son of Roger Quarles, former president of the Burley Tobacco Growers Cooperative Association. A proponent of diversification, he noted during the campaign that his grandfather grew hemp during World War II. "I think Kentucky is well-positioned to be a leader if industrial hemp takes off, which I think it will," he said. He also is optimistic about canola and hops in the Kentucky. DATES TO REMEMBER December 3. N.C. Tobacco Day 2015. Johnston County Extension Center, 2736 N.C. Hwy. 210, Smithfield, N.C. Starting time to be announced but the meeting will end with a sponsored lunch. Editor: Chris Bickers  | Bickers Editing Service | 903-9 Shellbrook Ct. | Raleigh NC 27609  | PH: 919-789-4631  ADVERTISING FARMERS TOBACCO WAREHOUSE 209 Harding St., Danville, Ky. PH: 859-236-4932 Full-service burley warehouse Jerry Rankin, Owner   Call for information. BIG M TOBACCO WAREHOUSE  1723 Goldsboro St. SW, Wilson, N.C.,  in the old Liberty Warehouse Mann Mullen is the owner of Big M auction warehouse in Wilson, N.C. We hold sealed bid auctions We promise  HONEST AND TRUSTWORTHY  SERVICE We will be GAP certified  For more information, contact Mann Mullen at 919-496-9033  or the warehouse switchboard at 252-206-1447. Email: shrimpmann@embarqmail.com.

WILL THE QUALITY OF THIS BURLEY CROP BE BETTER THAN EXPECTED?

Beginning to look up: a A ground level shot looking up at burley  curing in a barn near Wilson, N.C. The yield of this year's crop is  down, but the quality looks good. The last of Kentucky's burley has been in the barn for several weeks,  and from 10 percent to perhaps 15 percent has been stripped, estimates  Bob Pearce, Kentucky Extension tobacco specialist. "The quality is better  than what we expected," he says. There had been a dry spell late in the  summer (see Tobacco Farmer Newsletter, October I 2015). "But since then,  there has been pretty good moisture, which may have helped darken the leaf,"  he says. "Now, temperatures are a little above average: We are looking at  early November temperatures in the mid Seventies (in Lexington). That should  help improve the quality of the later harvested tobacco." But nothing is going  to help the weight of this crop, which appears to be low due to the wet weather  experienced early in the growing season, Pearce adds. "We could be looking at  an average yield that is off 20 percent from recent years." The quality was good for dark fire-cured in western Kentucky and Tennessee,  but burley and dark air-cured suffered through a dry curing season, says  Andy Bailey, Extension dark tobacco specialist. Prices are good. "Unless there  is some major problem, our leaf is bringing $2.70 per pound for fire-cured, $2.40  for dark air-cured." The marketing season for Virginia fire-cured began on October 30. "That  was a little early," says Bruce Jones, the Extension agent for tobacco in  Appomattox County. "Farmers I have talked to were pleased with the prices  they received, which fell mostly in the top end of the price structure." They  were glad with the early opening too--humidity the last few weeks posed a  problem in keeping their tobacco, which they place in a cardboard box after  stripping. But this season, some stripped it, packed it again and didn't "box"  it until close to marketing. The Appomattox fire-cured was sold at a delivery  station in Oxford, N.C. Burley is grown in Appomattox County too, frequently in tandem with dark.  "Our burley has all been harvested, but most is still hanging in the barns," says  Jones. "If farmers have dark tobacco, they will work it first before they start on  the burley." This was not by any means a bumper burley crop. "But from what I have seen, the quality looks really good." There are also two organic flue-cured  growers in the county. "Both seem well pleased with their crop," Jones says. It was a tough year for black shank in many parts of the flue-cured belt, so bad  that rotation seemed to lose much of its effectiveness in limiting the disease. "Any  tobacco field that was in less than a four-year rotation was vulnerable," says  Alton Roberson of Kinston, N.C. He used chloropicrin and two applications of  Ridomil. "But they were not much help either," he says. Next year he will lengthen rotations where he can, and he also may change his soil treatment, perhaps using Presidio. If conditions are bad enough, nothing will prevent black shank, says N.C.  Extension plant pathologist Mina Mila. "But rotation will still be the best tool  over time." As Roberson found out, "The longer the rotation the better," she says.  Presidio has shown some promise in the field in its first year on tobacco in the  field, and a new fungicide, Orondis from Syngenta, may be labeled for tobacco  for next season. Orondis has received EPA approval and is expected to be available for 2016.  Its active ingredient is oxathiapiprolin, and it provides a new mode of action for  control of black shank and blue mold. Initially, Syngenta will market Orondis for  use on tobacco as multi-packs containing either: Orondis and Ridomil Gold fungicide for control of black shank or Orondis and Revus fungicide for control of blue mold. When approved by the EPA and individual states, these products will be sold  as premixes under the brand names Orondis Gold and Orondis Ultra. DATES TO REMEMBER --December 3. N.C. Tobacco Day 2015. Johnston County Extension  Center, 2736 N.C. Hwy. 210, Smithfield, N.C. Starting time to be  announced but the meeting will end with a sponsored lunch. FARMERS TOBACCO WAREHOUSE 209 Harding St., Danville, Ky. PH: 859-236-4932 Full-service burley warehouse Jerry Rankin, Owner   Call for information. BIG M TOBACCO WAREHOUSE  1723 Goldsboro St. SW, Wilson, N.C.,  in the old Liberty Warehouse Mann Mullen is the owner of Big M auction warehouse in Wilson, N.C. We hold sealed bid auctions We promise  HONEST AND TRUSTWORTHY  SERVICE We will be GAP certified  For more information, contact Mann Mullen at 919-496-9033  or the warehouse switchboard at 252-206-1447. Email: shrimpmann@embarqmail.com.