It was nothing but smiles for flue-cured grower Johnny McLawhorn on August 9 as his workers harvested the second level of leaf on his farm near the town of Hookerton in eastern N.C.
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After
the dismal production of 2011, both
flue-cured and burley appear headed toward much better production,
according to the USDA August Crop Report, issued this morning. North
Carolina flue-cured and Tennessee burley--and to a lesser extent both
types in Virginia--lead the way in percentage increase.
FLUE-CURED--The
prospects for the U.S. flue-cured continue to improve. The USDA
August Crop Report projected production of the type will reach at
least 446 million pounds. That is 29 percent above last year and
14 million pounds more than was projected a month ago. Most of
the increase is projected in North Carolina where production is up
nearly 40 percent at 346.5 million pounds. Among
the other flue-cured states: South Carolina is up two percent at 27
million pounds, as is Virginia, up 11 percent at 48.3 million pounds.
But Georgia is down almost 10 percent at 24.1 million pounds. Florida
doesn’t participate in the survey, but a substantial drop in
production can be expected because of Tropical Storm Debbie.
BURLEY production
is projected to increase over last year too, although not nearly as
much. It is expected to total 186 million pounds, up eight percent
from last year. Among the individual states: the big news
comes from Tennessee, where production is expected to be up 26
percent at 28.5 million pounds. Kentucky is projected to be up five
percent at 134.9 million pounds. Virginia is up a healthy 20 percent
at 4.5 million pounds and Pennsylvania is up two percent, at 11.2
million pounds. North Carolina is down 23 percent at 2.7 million
pounds while Ohio production remains about the same at 3.6 million
pounds.
OTHER
TYPES:
Fire-cured
is down eight percent at 47.2 million pounds. Dark air-cured is down
19 percent at 13 million pounds. Cigar types are up 12 percent at 8.6
million pounds while for Southern Maryland there is no change at 6.6
million pounds.
How
credible are the USDA survey results?
There
was some skepticism about the N.C. flue-cured projection, although
certainly everyone expects a major recovery from the
hurricane-damaged 2011 crop. But with all the uncertainty, the 346.5
million pound figure may be on the high side, says an Extension
tobacco agent in a major eastern N.C. county. “But we may come
close to it or even possibly achieve it.”
And
what about the big increase
in Tennessee? The
additional thousand acres that USDA says was planted in Tennessee
seems very credible to Daniel Green, Chief Operating Officer of the
Burley Stabilization Corporation of Springfield, Tn. “We strived to
increase plantings among our contracting farmers and had some
success,” he said. “The 300-pound-per-acre yield increase that
USDA projects is certainly significant, but I think it might be just
about right.”
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